EBOOK [Peopleuake Mass Migration Aging Nations and the Coming Population Crash] author Fred Pearce
This book is all about demographics What happens as people have fewer children live longer move David Foot author of Boom Bust and Echo argued that two thirds of everything can be explained by demographics and that s what Pearce sets out to prove in The Coming Population Crash Pearce starts with a review of thinking starting with the 18th century scholar Malthus working his way forward Pearce is at his strongest I think when he describes how enerations of political scientists economists and demographers took Malthus to heart and unwittingly engineered Malthusian crises which they described as inevitable One poignant example was the Irish famine wherein rich British landowners exported food from the island while their Irish tenants starved all while arguing that the problem was Irish fertility A similar rhetoric is happening even now in Kenya Malthus influenced directly or indirectly eugenics movements and xenophobic thinking that continue todayI was also impressed with Pearce s analysis of today s world Travelling from Italy to Bangladesh to San Paolo Pearce paints a picture of the world as it is and describes how we The GI Bride got here All over thelobe with few exceptions women are having fewer children Peace points out some "of the political ramifications from the little emperors in China to the abandonment of cities in East Germany to the bulging "the
political ramifications from the little emperors in China to the abandonment of cities in East Germany to the bulging in megalopolises ramifications from the little emperors in China to the abandonment of cities in East Germany to the bulging in megalopolises the world Where I thought Pearce was weakest was in his final chapters the ones where he ets to the crux of his subtitle Our Planet s Surprising Future Pearce envisions an aging world but one in which the elderly are active in political and social affairs important in taking care of their families and present in the workplace I think iven the amount of times Pearce described previous demographic trends the rapid decrease in fertility for example as completely unexpected he should be the first to admit that a similar unexpected trend could creep up on us There s just no way to predict what the planet s oing to be like in 2050 let alone 2100That said I thought this was a well researched well argued book Certainly it provides food for thought As befits a roving journalist Pearce s book is a collection of field reports from around the world sometimes amusing often eye opening and at times insightful updates of the current state of affairs on our planet from a sociological and cultural point of view I do agree with other readers that in such a short piece of work it lacks deep analysis and well argued conclusions but that did not detract from my enjoyment of this book However his optimism and hope for a better future where mankind s current depredations on the living planet are constrained I found rather baseless in a few instances for eg his belief that people makes for better land management in Africa was difficult to accept without substantiation to ive one example This aside the major demographic trend that the author harps on the ageing and eventual shrinkage of world population does present some hope that the current magnitude of environmental destruction would inevitably moderate The million dollar uestion then is would it be too late As Pearce correctly pointed out it is the Ratscalibur growth in per capita consumption that is today the key driver of ecological impact rather than sheer population numbers And to counter that efficiencyains from The Million Dollar Goal (The Million Dollar Series, green tech and fewer people may not be enough without a commensurate change in societal values Pearce has never met an immigrant he didn t like and that relentless optimismets a little old over 300 pages I could have wished for a even handed treatment on this subject but the scope of his research is impressive You might think Demography is destiny It underlies many of the issues that shake the world from war and economics to immigration No wonder then that fears of overpopulation flared regularly over the last century a century that saw the world's population uadruple Even today baby booms are blamed for The Selected Poems genocide and terrorism and overpopulation is regularly cited as the primary factor drivinglobal warming and other environmental issuesYet surprisingly it appears that the explosion is past its peak Around the world in developing countries as well as in rich ones today's women are having on average 26 children half the number their mothers had Within a eneration world fertility will likely follow Europe's to below replacement levels and by 2040 the world's population will be declining for the first time since the Black Death almost seven hundred Ikely scenarios which be worked out in the years ahead which will be affected by concentrations or the dispersal of populations He points out that although the world population will continue to rise over the next few decades reaching around 9 billion in 2040 most of this will arise from an a decline in the rate of death rather than the arrival of new people Our societies are filling up principally with people who are living longer and rowing My Jihad: The True Story of An American Mujahid's Amazing Journey from Usama Bin Laden's Training Camps to Counterterrorism with the FBI and CIA greyer A decline in birth rates long noted in the countries of the developed world but increasingly apparent in China India and other emerging regions means that theeneration alive in 2040 will be living on the cusp of a prolonged period of human history during which people die each year than are born For Pearce this is the really significant fact which should be bearing down on our policy making in today s work as a we plan for a transitional period of adjustment as we work out the social relations needed to sustain civilised life in what will be older but also peaceful and hopefully wiser societiesIn this scenario immigration is not a phenomenon we need to bear down on but a useful resource which will ensure that youthful energy and innovation finds its place in the parts of the world where smooth foreheads and clear sighted eyes are becoming increasingly scarce There are many counterfactuals stacking up against the population pessimists and which challenge the idea that downward pressure now needs to be brought to bear on levels of migration They suggest that better principles for managing migration will be found in the empowerment of migrants rather than increases in coercive controls If we are oing to need to tap into the resources of the young the energetic the brightest and the most imaginative to meet the demands of this transitional period of human history we should start to do that now by drawing them and the them increasingly being migrants into the policy discussion rather than leave it until too much later Fred Pearce s optimistic outlook is the perfect antidote to the relentless Malthusian world view of immiment plague pestilence and famine There really are reasons to be cheerful if challenges are addressed and not left to become self fulfilling prophesies of the doomsayers The book doesn t fight shy of the massive issues that need to be confronted feticide eugenics euthansia mass migration immigration environmental impact wealth polarisation and much besides But just as Malthus couldn t see how the world could sustain people back in the 1800s the same blinkered thinking threatens to condemn efforts to lift millions of people out of poverty and to abandon them to their fate Pearce s view is that the demographic timebomb may yet be defused by falling birthrates ageing populat This was reat from so many angles It was factually enlightening and didn t fall to idiotic malthusian misanthropy not to naive optimism Humanist book through and through This whole book nay every chapter nay every page nay every paragraph is not just a massive education but a argantuan re educationIt s not all just illuminating but I felt re illuminated "From ScratchProof Of The Truth Of This "scratchProof of the truth of this in the face of doomsayers that dominate attention than they should is that books of recent vintage have surfaced to bear out his larger point and he was way way ahead of the ameLook around you Cities are shrinking Las Maravillosas Obras de Dios: Historias B�blicas Para La Familia ghost towns are now everywhere instead of relics Nowee why is that And why don t we have to worry about an overpopulated worldBaked in through the narrative is a positivity that we can handle the future if we want I like that It s also the truth Pretty ood pretty optimistic I noticed it is now a little out of dat. So Might an older world population have an upside Pearce also shows us why our demographic future holds increased migration rates and reveals the hypocrisy at the heart of anti IMMIGRANT RHETORIC IN THE DEVELOPED WORLD rhetoric in the developed world simple fact is that countries with lower birthrates need workers and countries with higher birthrates need work And he tackles the truism that population density always leads to environmental degradation taking us from some of the world's most densely packed urban slums to rural Africa to argue that underpopulation can sometimes be the cause of environmental woes while cities could hold the key to sustainable livingPearce's provocative book is essential reading for anyone who wants to know what demographics tell us about our lobal future and for all those who believe in learning from the mistakes of the past.
Fred Pearce Ø 7 DownloadHat demographics is simply births and deaths but Pearce looks at how the human life cycle has changed over the last 150 years and how those changes affect politics technology women s rights and the The New Song: For the Sunday School, Societies of Christian Endeavor, and Other Religious Exercises (Classic Reprint) graying of thelobal population Best sentence in the book Should we fear the wrinklies I recommend this book There are other books that explore the minutiae of all the individual topics Pearce introduces but this is a Riding Hard great overview the reason we call urban myth or one looks at how a history event was passed down extra sensationalism were often added so the history changes as timeoes byone such myth is population explosion started by Malthusthen it does not stopAuthor has been using a lot of data in many countries to prove that not only population does not Arabian Challenge grow rather as we often talks about population is in severe decline Japan India Sri Lanka EU zonesdespite the fact that populationrowth has been controlled via political and cultural meansthis book is a wake up call to all of us as modern observer to realize what is wrong with the headline population rowth in severe decline vs old urban myth people have no food to eat due to war and severe mis allocation of food supply nothing to do with how many people on this planet A reat book with possibly the best Introduction I ve ever read Though it s a little 11years outdated now much of it is as relevant as ever I felt it didn t uite deserve the 5th star as the pace and panache of the book dwindled in the final two sections Nonetheless will definitely recommend to my students I blogged the following discussion of this book on the Migrants Rights Network website at wwwmigrantsrightsorgukIt is increasingly clear that the coalition Der Verlorene Koffer: A Graded Reader for Beginning Students government s immigration policies areoing to be informed by the population pessimism which regards ILLERAMMA Kathalu growth at the level of the ONS s upper predictions of 70 million people by 2031 as the very worst fate that could befall the United Kingdom Much of the discussion around the announcement of a cap on third country migrant numbers made by the Home Secretary on 28th June is in line with theloomy thinking that people always means bad news and draconian measures are justified to bring about a reversal of trendsWhilst the negative take on population figures has been contested by social policy analysts working in such bodies as ippr and Centre Forum sheer force of Malthusian continues to rule the roost amongst politicians and tabloid headline writersThat might change with the public of a splendid new book by the Guardian s Greenwash columnist Fred Pearce Peopleuake Mass Migration Ageing Nations and the Coming Population Crash oes at the argument full tilt and from just about every possible angle He looks at the work of the Reverend Bob Malthus as it moved through its various stages of loomy population punditry training manual for colonial administrators and the foundations for the distasteful ideology of eugenics shows just how unreliable it has always been as a predictor of the outcomes of population rise The UK illustrates the error in this type of thinking as clearly as anything else In 1821 the population of Britain was a mere 20 million and this has risen by 300% in the 190 years since to our present 61 million But rather than the famine and pestilence predicted by Malthus this same period has seen encouraging moves away from the conditions of epidemic disease the appalling congestion of the cities of the early industrial revolution better planned housing and health care and social amenities which have all tended to the improvement of human life and the increase of happinessPearce "argues that rather than bang on about large numbers we should be looking at the "that rather than bang on about large numbers
we should be looking at the agoIn The Coming Population Crash veteran environmental writer Fred Pearce revealsshould be looking at the agoIn The Coming Population Crash veteran environmental writer Fred Pearce reveals dynamics behind this dramatic shift Charting the demographic path of our species over two hundred years he begins by chronicling the troubling history of authoritarian efforts to contain the twentieth century's population explosion as well as the worldwide trend toward the empowerment of women that led to lower birthrates And then with vivid reporting from around the Cheyenne: A Sweet Historical Romance globe he dives into the environmental social and economic effects of our surprising demographic futureNow is probably the last time in history that our world will hold young people than elders Most fear that an aging world population will put a serious drain on national resources as a shrinking working population supports arowing number of retirees But is this necessarily.